17 segments · 54 companies
Consumer Value Chain
+3.4%chain · 1M
Input costs squeeze brand margins, channels decide who can raise prices, and income sets discretionary spend: staples trade price for volume, discretionary follows traffic.
- The Consumer Value Chain covers 17 segments and 54 companies, 0 of them chokepoints.
- Over the past month the chain's median listed company returned +3.4%, against 0.0% for the S&P 500.
- The strongest segment is Mass merchants & warehouse clubs (+9.0%) and the weakest EV battery technology (−16.8%), a 25.8-point spread.
The chain, stage by stage
Upstream on the left, end demand on the right. Figures are 1-month returns; the segment shows its median.
StaplesDiscretionary
Inputs & ag
Agricultural processing−3.6%
Automotive electrical & electronics−0.6%
EV battery technology−16.8%
AMPX−16.7%ENVX−16.9%QS−21.2%SLDP−16.5%
Brands & makers
Sportswear+1.1%
Retail
Bottling & distribution+7.8%
Mass merchants & warehouse clubs+9.0%
Services & platforms
Personal & household services+4.3%
BFAM+3.0%FTDR+4.7%HRB+11.6%SCI+3.9%
Consumers
Consumer income & confidence
Which segments are leading
Median price return of the listed companies in each segment.
Key numbers
Aug US retail & food sales, y/y+6.0%U.S. Census Bureau · 零售与餐饮销售月度预估
Costco fiscal-year comparable sales+8.4%Costco · FY26 Q4 及全年财报（SEC 8-K 附件）
McDonald's Q2 global comparable sales+1.3%McDonald's · 2026 Q2 财报（SEC 8-K 附件）
Booking Q2 room nights growth+5%Booking Holdings · 2026 Q2 财报（SEC 8-K 附件）
Sources
- U.S. Census Bureau · 零售与餐饮销售月度预估 2026-08 数据（9月16日发布）
- Costco · FY26 Q4 及全年财报（SEC 8-K 附件） 2026-09-24
- McDonald's · 2026 Q2 财报（SEC 8-K 附件） 2026-08-04
- Booking Holdings · 2026 Q2 财报（SEC 8-K 附件） 2026-08-04
- Kenvue · Our Brands 2026-10-07（查阅）
- Aptiv · Vehicle Architecture Explained 2026-10-07（查阅）
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