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NYSE · HD · Home Improvement Retail

Home Depot (HD) stock analysis

$314.14−0.31%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • HD gained 2.9% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 239th of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned −18.2%, 34.0 points behind the S&P 500, and trades 19.1% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 0 analysts raised earnings estimates and 3 cut; forward EPS moved −0.3% (−0.6% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Home improvement, off-price & auto parts segment of the Consumer Value Chain, where the 1-month median return is +1.8%.
  • The daily chart reads Trend transition · Unresolved structure (since Oct 20, 2026).
Market cap$313.4B
12-month return−18.2%
Forward P/E19.6×
Mean target vs price+20.1%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

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291325359394JanAprJulOct
314.1450-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

HD+2.9%
Sector median−1.2%
S&P 5000.0%
HD−3.3%
Sector median−7.1%
S&P 500+4.7%
HD−7.5%
Sector median−8.1%
S&P 500+8.7%
HD−18.2%
Sector median−7.2%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 500239 / 497
3-month rank in its sector · Consumer Cyclical169 / 419

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Trend transition · Unresolved structureAwaiting confirmation

Holding since Oct 20, 2026

  • Price and averages have mixed alignment
  • EMA50 fell over the last ten sessions
  • Confirmed swing highs and lows are falling
  • Intermediate and long-term directions differ
  • Neither a stable trend nor a range is confirmed
This pattern on this stock

74 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was +0.9%, positive 54% of the time, against +1.0% for any day in the same period.

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Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$15.99
30-day change−0.3%
90-day change−0.6%
Mean target$377.19 +20.1%
Raised (30d) 0Cut (30d) 3

32 analysts cover the stock

Where it sits in the supply chain

Consumer Value Chain · Retail

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Supplied by
Sportswear+1.1%
NKE+4.0%1 monthAS+7.0%1 monthBC−1.7%1 monthYETI−1.9%1 month
Its segment
Home improvement, off-price & auto parts+1.8%
HD+2.9%1 monthLOW+0.2%1 monthROST+0.7%1 monthORLY+3.9%1 month

Home improvement follows housing turnover and remodeling, off-price apparel gains from trade-down, and auto parts are steady as cars age.

Sells into
Consumer income & confidence

Also on: Housing & Building

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−27.6%
Volatility, 60D24.3%
From 52-week high−19.1%
From 52-week low+11.7%
Trailing P/E22.0×
Forward P/E19.6×

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