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NASDAQ · TSLA · Auto Manufacturers

Tesla (TSLA) stock analysis

$386.47+3.41%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • TSLA gained 2.0% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 272nd of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned −13.6%, 29.4 points behind the S&P 500, and trades 21.1% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 1 analyst raised earnings estimates and 10 cut; forward EPS moved −1.3% (−4.5% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Devices & autonomy segment of the AI Infrastructure Supply Chain, where the 1-month median return is +1.6%.
  • The daily chart reads Intermediate uptrend · High consolidation (since Oct 20, 2026).
Market cap$1.53T
12-month return−13.6%
Forward P/E178.2×
Mean target vs price+2.9%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

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314367421475JanAprJulOct
386.4750-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

TSLA+2.0%
Sector median−1.2%
S&P 5000.0%
TSLA+20.9%
Sector median−7.1%
S&P 500+4.7%
TSLA−0.3%
Sector median−8.1%
S&P 500+8.7%
TSLA−13.6%
Sector median−7.2%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 500272 / 497
1-month rank in the Nasdaq 10050 / 100
3-month rank in its sector · Consumer Cyclical42 / 419

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Intermediate uptrend · High consolidationConfirmed

Holding since Oct 20, 2026

  • Close above EMA20 above EMA50
  • EMA50 rose over the last ten sessions
  • Some swings conflict with the averages
This pattern on this stock

16 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was −1.7%, positive 31% of the time, against +1.6% for any day in the same period.

Reference zone, stop and targets for this structureSee the trade plan in Hub ↗

Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$2.17
30-day change−1.3%
90-day change−4.5%
Mean target$397.83 +2.9%
Raised (30d) 1Cut (30d) 10

38 analysts cover the stock

Fundamental shape vs peers

Six dimensions on fixed scales. The filled shape is the company; the outline is the peer average.

Open the full Radar with every ratio
ValuationRevisionsMomentumGrowthCashProfit

Ahead of peersMomentum

Behind peersValuation, Revisions

PeersAMZN · HD · BABA · TM

Where it sits in the supply chain

AI Infrastructure Supply Chain · Demand

Explore the full chain map in Hub
Supplied by
Foundry & advanced packaging−14.6%
TSM−4.4%1 monthINTC−24.9%1 month
Its segment
Devices & autonomy+1.6%
AAPL+1.2%1 monthTSLA+2.0%1 month

On-device AI and autonomy training add a second source of demand that competes for leading-edge capacity.

Also on: Semiconductor Value Chain · Consumer Value Chain

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−39.1%
Volatility, 60D39.6%
From 52-week high−21.1%
From 52-week low+29.5%
Trailing P/E357.8×
Forward P/E178.2×

Themes

  • EV & Batteries3M rank 4 / 23
  • Autonomy/Robotaxi3M rank 1 / 5
AAPLAppleTSMTaiwan SemiconductorINTCIntelAMZNAmazonHDHome DepotGMGeneral MotorsFFord MotorMCDMcDonald's

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