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NASDAQ · INTC · Semiconductors

Intel (INTC) stock analysis

$92.96+1.39%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • INTC lost 24.9% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 492nd of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned +144.0%, 128.2 points ahead of the S&P 500, and trades 34.0% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 1 analyst raised earnings estimates and 0 cut; forward EPS moved +2.9% (+32.8% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Foundry & advanced packaging segment of the AI Infrastructure Supply Chain, where the 1-month median return is −14.6%.
  • The daily chart reads Trend transition · Unresolved structure (since Oct 8, 2026).
Market cap$491.4B
12-month return+144.0%
Forward P/E45.5×
Mean target vs price+27.0%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

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32.765.798.6132JanAprJulOct
92.9650-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

INTC−24.9%
Sector median−3.0%
S&P 5000.0%
INTC−7.3%
Sector median−0.1%
S&P 500+4.7%
INTC+42.4%
Sector median+0.8%
S&P 500+8.7%
INTC+144.0%
Sector median0.0%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 500492 / 497
1-month rank in the Nasdaq 10099 / 100
3-month rank in its sector · Technology375 / 650

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Trend transition · Unresolved structureAwaiting confirmation

Holding since Oct 8, 2026

  • Close below EMA20 below EMA50
  • EMA50 fell over the last ten sessions
  • Intermediate and long-term directions differ
  • Neither a stable trend nor a range is confirmed
This pattern on this stock

84 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was +1.3%, positive 57% of the time, against +0.9% for any day in the same period.

Reference zone, stop and targets for this structureSee the trade plan in Hub ↗

Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$2.10
30-day change+2.9%
90-day change+32.8%
Mean target$118.05 +27.0%
Raised (30d) 1Cut (30d) 0

43 analysts cover the stock

Where it sits in the supply chain

AI Infrastructure Supply Chain · Core components

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Supplied by
Semiconductor equipment−13.3%
ASML−4.1%1 monthAMAT−13.4%1 monthLRCX−16.0%1 monthKLAC−13.2%1 month
Its segment
Foundry & advanced packaging−14.6%
TSM−4.4%1 monthINTC−24.9%1 month

Leading-edge wafers and CoWoS-class packaging capacity cap accelerator shipments.

Chokepoint AI accelerators rely on TSMC leading-edge nodes and CoWoS packaging to join GPU and HBM; CoWoS capacity keeps falling short and caps AI chip shipments.

Sells into
GPU accelerators−7.2%
NVDA−3.0%1 monthAMD−11.4%1 month
Custom silicon−7.0%
AVGO−7.3%1 monthMRVL−6.7%1 month
Devices & autonomy+1.6%
AAPL+1.2%1 monthTSLA+2.0%1 month

Also on: Semiconductor Value Chain

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−41.9%
Volatility, 60D66.5%
From 52-week high−34.0%
From 52-week low+176.5%
Forward P/E45.5×

Themes

  • Semiconductors3M rank 50 / 135

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