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NYSE · TSM · Semiconductors

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) stock analysis

$431.89+1.60%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • TSM lost 4.4% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500.
  • Over 12 months it returned +45.9%, 30.1 points ahead of the S&P 500, and trades 11.1% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 2 analysts raised earnings estimates and 0 cut; forward EPS moved +2.0% (+5.6% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Foundry & advanced packaging segment of the AI Infrastructure Supply Chain, where the 1-month median return is −14.6%.
  • The daily chart reads Trend transition · Failed breakout (since Oct 9, 2026).
Market cap$2.24T
12-month return+45.9%
Forward P/E19.0×
Mean target vs price+34.2%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

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236312388464JanAprJulOct
431.8950-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

TSM−4.4%
Sector median−3.0%
S&P 5000.0%
TSM+3.9%
Sector median−0.1%
S&P 500+4.7%
TSM+11.5%
Sector median+0.8%
S&P 500+8.7%
TSM+45.9%
Sector median0.0%
S&P 500+15.8%
3-month rank in its sector · Technology280 / 650

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Trend transition · Failed breakoutFailed

Holding since Oct 9, 2026

  • Price and averages have mixed alignment
  • EMA50 fell over the last ten sessions
  • Intermediate and long-term directions differ
This pattern on this stock

17 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was +2.1%, positive 59% of the time, against +2.3% for any day in the same period.

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Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$22.35
30-day change+2.0%
90-day change+5.6%
Mean target$579.67 +34.2%
Raised (30d) 2Cut (30d) 0

20 analysts cover the stock

Fundamental shape vs peers

Six dimensions on fixed scales. The filled shape is the company; the outline is the peer average.

Open the full Radar with every ratio
ValuationRevisionsMomentumGrowthCashProfit

Ahead of peersMomentum

Behind peersValuation

PeersNVDA · AVGO · SKHY · MU

Where it sits in the supply chain

AI Infrastructure Supply Chain · Core components

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Supplied by
Semiconductor equipment−13.3%
ASML−4.1%1 monthAMAT−13.4%1 monthLRCX−16.0%1 monthKLAC−13.2%1 month
Its segment
Foundry & advanced packaging−14.6%
TSM−4.4%1 monthINTC−24.9%1 month

Leading-edge wafers and CoWoS-class packaging capacity cap accelerator shipments.

Chokepoint AI accelerators rely on TSMC leading-edge nodes and CoWoS packaging to join GPU and HBM; CoWoS capacity keeps falling short and caps AI chip shipments.

Sells into
GPU accelerators−7.2%
NVDA−3.0%1 monthAMD−11.4%1 month
Custom silicon−7.0%
AVGO−7.3%1 monthMRVL−6.7%1 month
Devices & autonomy+1.6%
AAPL+1.2%1 monthTSLA+2.0%1 month

Also on: Semiconductor Value Chain

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−21.5%
Volatility, 60D32.5%
From 52-week high−11.1%
From 52-week low+57.9%
Trailing P/E32.5×
Forward P/E19.0×

Themes

  • Semiconductors3M rank 26 / 135
INTCIntelASMLASMLAMATApplied MaterialsLRCXLam ResearchKLACKLANVDANVIDIAAMDAdvanced Micro DevicesAVGOBroadcom

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