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NASDAQ · NVDA · Semiconductors

NVIDIA (NVDA) stock analysis

$221.97+2.54%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • NVDA lost 3.0% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 371st of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned +21.5%, 5.7 points ahead of the S&P 500, and trades 7.2% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 7 analysts raised earnings estimates and 0 cut; forward EPS moved +1.5% (+24.4% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the GPU accelerators segment of the AI Infrastructure Supply Chain, where the 1-month median return is −7.2%.
  • The daily chart reads Trend transition · Unresolved structure (since Oct 15, 2026).
Market cap$5.36T
12-month return+21.5%
Forward P/E13.9×
Mean target vs price+48.1%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

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153179206232JanAprJulOct
221.9750-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

NVDA−3.0%
Sector median−3.0%
S&P 5000.0%
NVDA+6.3%
Sector median−0.1%
S&P 500+4.7%
NVDA+9.6%
Sector median+0.8%
S&P 500+8.7%
NVDA+21.5%
Sector median0.0%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 500371 / 497
1-month rank in the Nasdaq 10067 / 100
3-month rank in its sector · Technology265 / 650

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Trend transition · Unresolved structureAwaiting confirmation

Holding since Oct 15, 2026

  • Price and averages have mixed alignment
  • EMA50 is approximately flat
  • Intermediate and long-term directions differ
  • Neither a stable trend nor a range is confirmed
This pattern on this stock

83 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was +3.9%, positive 61% of the time, against +4.2% for any day in the same period.

Reference zone, stop and targets for this structureSee the trade plan in Hub ↗

Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$15.91
30-day change+1.5%
90-day change+24.4%
Mean target$328.72 +48.1%
Raised (30d) 7Cut (30d) 0

59 analysts cover the stock

Where it sits in the supply chain

AI Infrastructure Supply Chain · Chips & systems

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Supplied by
Foundry & advanced packaging−14.6%
TSM−4.4%1 monthINTC−24.9%1 month
HBM & memory−16.6%
MU−16.6%1 month
Its segment
GPU accelerators−7.2%
NVDA−3.0%1 monthAMD−11.4%1 month

General-purpose GPU platforms, with their software and interconnect, are the main compute for training and inference clusters.

Sells into
Servers & racks−8.1%
SMCI−14.4%1 monthDELL−11.5%1 month2317.TW−0.2%1 monthHPE−4.7%1 month

Also on: Semiconductor Value Chain

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−20.2%
Volatility, 60D35.9%
From 52-week high−7.2%
From 52-week low+34.4%
Trailing P/E28.1×
Forward P/E13.9×

Themes

  • Semiconductors3M rank 19 / 135
  • AI Infrastructure3M rank 16 / 45

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