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NASDAQ · SMCI · Computer Hardware

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) stock analysis

$35.57+9.55%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • SMCI lost 14.4% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 479th of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned −35.4%, 51.2 points behind the S&P 500, and trades 35.1% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 8 analysts raised earnings estimates and 0 cut; forward EPS moved 0.0% (+43.6% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Servers & racks segment of the AI Infrastructure Supply Chain, where the 1-month median return is −8.1%.
  • The daily chart reads Trend transition · Unresolved structure (since Oct 13, 2026).
Market cap$23.4B
12-month return−35.4%
Forward P/E6.7×
Mean target vs price+19.1%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

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23.333.042.652.3JanAprJulOct
35.5750-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

SMCI−14.4%
Sector median−3.0%
S&P 5000.0%
SMCI+14.0%
Sector median−0.1%
S&P 500+4.7%
SMCI+21.9%
Sector median+0.8%
S&P 500+8.7%
SMCI−35.4%
Sector median0.0%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 500479 / 497
3-month rank in its sector · Technology214 / 650

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Trend transition · Unresolved structureAwaiting confirmation

Holding since Oct 13, 2026

  • Price and averages have mixed alignment
  • EMA50 fell over the last ten sessions
  • Volume exceeds 1.5× the prior 20-session average; supporting evidence only
  • Intermediate and long-term directions differ
  • Neither a stable trend nor a range is confirmed
This pattern on this stock

93 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was −0.5%, positive 47% of the time, against +1.5% for any day in the same period.

Reference zone, stop and targets for this structureSee the trade plan in Hub ↗

Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$5.33
30-day change0.0%
90-day change+43.6%
Mean target$42.38 +19.1%
Raised (30d) 8Cut (30d) 0

16 analysts cover the stock

Where it sits in the supply chain

AI Infrastructure Supply Chain · Data-center build

Explore the full chain map in Hub
Supplied by
GPU accelerators−7.2%
NVDA−3.0%1 monthAMD−11.4%1 month
Custom silicon−7.0%
AVGO−7.3%1 monthMRVL−6.7%1 month
Optics & high-speed links−16.0%
FN−11.8%1 monthAAOI−27.7%1 monthCRDO−5.3%1 monthALAB−20.2%1 month
Its segment
Servers & racks−8.1%
SMCI−14.4%1 monthDELL−11.5%1 month2317.TW−0.2%1 monthHPE−4.7%1 month

Accelerators, CPUs, memory, power and cooling are integrated into deployable rack-scale systems.

Sells into
Cloud & AI-cloud capex−5.3%
MSFT+7.0%1 monthGOOGL−4.7%1 monthAMZN+2.9%1 monthMETA−5.3%1 monthORCL−13.5%1 monthCRWV−28.7%1 monthNBIS−27.3%1 month
Rack power & liquid cooling−10.0%
VRT−16.3%1 month2308.TW−3.6%1 month

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−62.6%
Volatility, 60D82.8%
From 52-week high−35.1%
From 52-week low+73.3%
Trailing P/E10.9×
Forward P/E6.7×

Themes

  • AI Infrastructure3M rank 10 / 45

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