SIStockInvestingSI.com

NASDAQ · MSFT · Software - Infrastructure

Microsoft (MSFT) stock analysis

$532.95+0.20%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • MSFT gained 7.0% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 120th of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned +3.6%, 12.2 points behind the S&P 500, and trades 1.9% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 2 analysts raised earnings estimates and 2 cut; forward EPS moved +0.5% (+4.8% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Cloud & AI-cloud capex segment of the AI Infrastructure Supply Chain, where the 1-month median return is −5.3%.
  • The daily chart reads Intermediate uptrend · Failed breakout (since Oct 16, 2026).
Market cap$3.96T
12-month return+3.6%
Forward P/E22.6×
Mean target vs price+10.8%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

Open in Hub
368421475528JanAprJulOct
532.9550-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

MSFT+7.0%
Sector median−3.0%
S&P 5000.0%
MSFT+39.7%
Sector median−0.1%
S&P 500+4.7%
MSFT+23.1%
Sector median+0.8%
S&P 500+8.7%
MSFT+3.6%
Sector median0.0%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 500120 / 497
1-month rank in the Nasdaq 10028 / 100
3-month rank in its sector · Technology80 / 650

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Intermediate uptrend · Failed breakoutFailed

Holding since Oct 16, 2026

  • Close above EMA20 above EMA50
  • EMA50 rose over the last ten sessions
  • Confirmed swing highs and lows are rising
This pattern on this stock

24 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was +0.2%, positive 58% of the time, against +2.1% for any day in the same period.

Reference zone, stop and targets for this structureSee the trade plan in Hub ↗

Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$23.69
30-day change+0.5%
90-day change+4.8%
Mean target$590.28 +10.8%
Raised (30d) 2Cut (30d) 2

53 analysts cover the stock

Fundamental shape vs peers

Six dimensions on fixed scales. The filled shape is the company; the outline is the peer average.

Open the full Radar with every ratio
ValuationRevisionsMomentumGrowthCashProfit

Ahead of peersValuation, Profit

Behind peersGrowth

PeersPLTR · ORCL · PANW · CRWD

Where it sits in the supply chain

AI Infrastructure Supply Chain · Demand

Explore the full chain map in Hub
Supplied by
Servers & racks−8.1%
SMCI−14.4%1 monthDELL−11.5%1 month2317.TW−0.2%1 monthHPE−4.7%1 month
Switching & fabric−4.5%
ANET−10.2%1 monthCSCO+1.2%1 month
Data-center operators−5.5%
EQIX−6.1%1 monthDLR−5.0%1 month
Electronics manufacturing−9.1%
JBL−9.1%1 month
Optical transport & DCI−2.0%
CIEN−2.0%1 month
Its segment
Cloud & AI-cloud capex−5.3%
MSFT+7.0%1 monthGOOGL−4.7%1 monthAMZN+2.9%1 monthMETA−5.3%1 monthORCL−13.5%1 monthCRWV−28.7%1 monthNBIS−27.3%1 month

Cloud, training and inference demand funds the whole chain; planned spending still has to become live capacity and revenue.

Also on: Semiconductor Value Chain · Software & AI Applications · Utilities & Power Grid

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−34.6%
Volatility, 60D39.2%
From 52-week high−1.9%
From 52-week low+51.1%
Trailing P/E29.7×
Forward P/E22.6×

Themes

  • AI Software3M rank 2 / 24
  • Cloud SaaS3M rank 59 / 303
GOOGLAlphabetAMZNAmazonMETAMeta PlatformsORCLOracleSMCISuper Micro Computer, Inc.DELLDell TechnologiesHPEHewlett Packard Enterprise CompANETArista Networks

Track this stock every day

Hub adds the daily brief, StockFlow factor flow, trade plans and alerts for your watchlist.

Open in Hub ↗