SIStockInvestingSI.com

NYSE · ORCL · Software - Infrastructure

Oracle (ORCL) stock analysis

$129.13−1.53%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • ORCL lost 13.5% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 476th of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned −53.1%, 68.9 points behind the S&P 500, and trades 54.1% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 23 analysts raised earnings estimates and 10 cut; forward EPS moved 0.0% (+0.6% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Cloud & AI-cloud capex segment of the AI Infrastructure Supply Chain, where the 1-month median return is −5.3%.
  • The daily chart reads Intermediate downtrend · Low consolidation (since Oct 21, 2026).
Market cap$391.5B
12-month return−53.1%
Forward P/E11.8×
Mean target vs price+84.3%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

Open in Hub
128176223270JanAprJulOct
129.1350-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

ORCL−13.5%
Sector median−3.0%
S&P 5000.0%
ORCL+7.6%
Sector median−0.1%
S&P 500+4.7%
ORCL−31.1%
Sector median+0.8%
S&P 500+8.7%
ORCL−53.1%
Sector median0.0%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 500476 / 497
3-month rank in its sector · Technology254 / 650

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Intermediate downtrend · Low consolidationAwaiting confirmation

Holding since Oct 21, 2026

  • Close below EMA20 below EMA50
  • EMA50 fell over the last ten sessions
  • Confirmed swing highs and lows are falling
This pattern on this stock

28 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was +3.3%, positive 75% of the time, against +1.0% for any day in the same period.

Reference zone, stop and targets for this structureSee the trade plan in Hub ↗

Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$10.99
30-day change0.0%
90-day change+0.6%
Mean target$237.97 +84.3%
Raised (30d) 23Cut (30d) 10

41 analysts cover the stock

Where it sits in the supply chain

AI Infrastructure Supply Chain · Demand

Explore the full chain map in Hub
Supplied by
Servers & racks−8.1%
SMCI−14.4%1 monthDELL−11.5%1 month2317.TW−0.2%1 monthHPE−4.7%1 month
Switching & fabric−4.5%
ANET−10.2%1 monthCSCO+1.2%1 month
Data-center operators−5.5%
EQIX−6.1%1 monthDLR−5.0%1 month
Electronics manufacturing−9.1%
JBL−9.1%1 month
Optical transport & DCI−2.0%
CIEN−2.0%1 month
Its segment
Cloud & AI-cloud capex−5.3%
MSFT+7.0%1 monthGOOGL−4.7%1 monthAMZN+2.9%1 monthMETA−5.3%1 monthORCL−13.5%1 monthCRWV−28.7%1 monthNBIS−27.3%1 month

Cloud, training and inference demand funds the whole chain; planned spending still has to become live capacity and revenue.

Also on: Semiconductor Value Chain · Software & AI Applications

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−59.2%
Volatility, 60D55.6%
From 52-week high−54.1%
From 52-week low+12.3%
Trailing P/E22.1×
Forward P/E11.8×

Themes

  • Cloud SaaS3M rank 171 / 303
MSFTMicrosoftGOOGLAlphabetAMZNAmazonMETAMeta PlatformsSMCISuper Micro Computer, Inc.DELLDell TechnologiesHPEHewlett Packard Enterprise CompANETArista Networks

Track this stock every day

Hub adds the daily brief, StockFlow factor flow, trade plans and alerts for your watchlist.

Open in Hub ↗