SIStockInvestingSI.com

NASDAQ · WMT · Discount Stores

Walmart (WMT) stock analysis

$117.80−0.04%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • WMT gained 7.0% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 123rd of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned +10.7%, 5.1 points behind the S&P 500, and trades 12.2% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 1 analyst raised earnings estimates and 6 cut; forward EPS moved −0.1% (−1.8% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Mass merchants & warehouse clubs segment of the Consumer Value Chain, where the 1-month median return is +9.0%.
  • The daily chart reads Trend transition · Upside breakout (since Oct 19, 2026).
Market cap$937.5B
12-month return+10.7%
Forward P/E36.5×
Mean target vs price+7.6%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

Open in Hub
99.8110121131JanAprJulOct
117.8050-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

WMT+7.0%
Sector median+1.9%
S&P 5000.0%
WMT+8.7%
Sector median+0.7%
S&P 500+4.7%
WMT−9.2%
Sector median−2.7%
S&P 500+8.7%
WMT+10.7%
Sector median−1.9%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 500123 / 497
1-month rank in the Nasdaq 10029 / 100
3-month rank in its sector · Consumer Defensive42 / 163

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Trend transition · Upside breakoutConfirmed

Holding since Oct 19, 2026

  • Close above EMA20 above EMA50
  • EMA50 rose over the last ten sessions
This pattern on this stock

63 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was +1.1%, positive 60% of the time, against +1.2% for any day in the same period.

Reference zone, stop and targets for this structureSee the trade plan in Hub ↗

Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$3.23
30-day change−0.1%
90-day change−1.8%
Mean target$126.78 +7.6%
Raised (30d) 1Cut (30d) 6

40 analysts cover the stock

Where it sits in the supply chain

Consumer Value Chain · Retail

Explore the full chain map in Hub
Supplied by
Bottling & distribution+7.8%
CCEP+7.8%1 month
Snacks & packaged food+0.8%
MDLZ+3.6%1 monthKHC−2.1%1 month
Household, personal care & tobacco+6.5%
PG+5.8%1 monthCL+7.3%1 monthPM+4.7%1 monthMO+7.6%1 month
Household care & beauty+6.6%
EL+3.4%1 monthKVUE+6.6%1 monthKMB+7.8%1 monthCHD+9.2%1 monthCLX−2.7%1 month
Its segment
Mass merchants & warehouse clubs+9.0%
WMT+7.0%1 monthCOST+11.0%1 monthBJ+12.6%1 monthPSMT−0.7%1 month

Scale and low prices drive traffic with a heavy grocery mix, while e-commerce and advertising lift margins; often gains when shoppers trade down.

Sells into
Consumer income & confidence

Also on: Retail Channels & Consumer Brands · Logistics & Freight · Agriculture to the Table

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−23.5%
Volatility, 60D28.2%
From 52-week high−12.2%
From 52-week low+17.8%
Trailing P/E42.7×
Forward P/E36.5×

Track this stock every day

Hub adds the daily brief, StockFlow factor flow, trade plans and alerts for your watchlist.

Open in Hub ↗