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NASDAQ · COST · Discount Stores

Costco Wholesale (COST) stock analysis

$998.31+0.37%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • COST gained 11.0% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 50th of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned +7.1%, 8.7 points behind the S&P 500, and trades 8.8% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 11 analysts raised earnings estimates and 2 cut; forward EPS moved +0.6% (+0.5% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Mass merchants & warehouse clubs segment of the Consumer Value Chain, where the 1-month median return is +9.0%.
  • The daily chart reads Trend transition · Trend repair (since Oct 6, 2026).
Market cap$442.4B
12-month return+7.1%
Forward P/E44.1×
Mean target vs price+7.1%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

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87093810061075JanAprJulOct
998.3150-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

COST+11.0%
Sector median+1.9%
S&P 5000.0%
COST+8.0%
Sector median+0.7%
S&P 500+4.7%
COST−0.4%
Sector median−2.7%
S&P 500+8.7%
COST+7.1%
Sector median−1.9%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 50050 / 497
1-month rank in the Nasdaq 10010 / 100
3-month rank in its sector · Consumer Defensive44 / 163

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Trend transition · Trend repairAwaiting confirmation

Holding since Oct 6, 2026

  • Close above EMA20 above EMA50
  • EMA50 rose over the last ten sessions
  • Confirmed swing highs and lows are rising
  • Neither a stable trend nor a range is confirmed
This pattern on this stock

54 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was +3.4%, positive 70% of the time, against +1.8% for any day in the same period.

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Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$25.07
30-day change+0.6%
90-day change+0.5%
Mean target$1069.20 +7.1%
Raised (30d) 11Cut (30d) 2

35 analysts cover the stock

Where it sits in the supply chain

Consumer Value Chain · Retail

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Supplied by
Bottling & distribution+7.8%
CCEP+7.8%1 month
Snacks & packaged food+0.8%
MDLZ+3.6%1 monthKHC−2.1%1 month
Household, personal care & tobacco+6.5%
PG+5.8%1 monthCL+7.3%1 monthPM+4.7%1 monthMO+7.6%1 month
Household care & beauty+6.6%
EL+3.4%1 monthKVUE+6.6%1 monthKMB+7.8%1 monthCHD+9.2%1 monthCLX−2.7%1 month
Its segment
Mass merchants & warehouse clubs+9.0%
WMT+7.0%1 monthCOST+11.0%1 monthBJ+12.6%1 monthPSMT−0.7%1 month

Scale and low prices drive traffic with a heavy grocery mix, while e-commerce and advertising lift margins; often gains when shoppers trade down.

Sells into
Consumer income & confidence

Also on: Retail Channels & Consumer Brands · Agriculture to the Table

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−18.3%
Volatility, 60D17.5%
From 52-week high−8.8%
From 52-week low+17.8%
Trailing P/E50.2×
Forward P/E44.1×

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