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NASDAQ · ULTA · Specialty Retail

Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) stock analysis

$606.99+0.68%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • ULTA gained 9.6% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 65th of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned +15.9%, 0.1 points ahead of the S&P 500, and trades 14.1% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 13 analysts raised earnings estimates and 4 cut; forward EPS moved 0.0% (+0.4% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Specialty retail segment of the Retail Channels & Consumer Brands, where the 1-month median return is +4.2%.
  • The daily chart reads Intermediate uptrend · Upside breakout (since Oct 15, 2026).
Market cap$26.0B
12-month return+15.9%
Forward P/E18.9×
Mean target vs price+4.0%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

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466539613686JanAprJulOct
606.9950-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

ULTA+9.6%
Sector median−1.2%
S&P 5000.0%
ULTA+27.0%
Sector median−7.1%
S&P 500+4.7%
ULTA+7.6%
Sector median−8.1%
S&P 500+8.7%
ULTA+15.9%
Sector median−7.2%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 50065 / 497
3-month rank in its sector · Consumer Cyclical28 / 419

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Intermediate uptrend · Upside breakoutConfirmed

Holding since Oct 15, 2026

  • Close above EMA20 above EMA50
  • EMA50 rose over the last ten sessions
  • Confirmed swing highs and lows are rising
This pattern on this stock

69 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was +0.8%, positive 54% of the time, against +1.7% for any day in the same period.

Reference zone, stop and targets for this structureSee the trade plan in Hub ↗

Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$31.99
30-day change0.0%
90-day change+0.4%
Mean target$631.44 +4.0%
Raised (30d) 13Cut (30d) 4

25 analysts cover the stock

Where it sits in the supply chain

Retail Channels & Consumer Brands · Retail & marketplaces

Explore the full chain map in Hub
Its segment
Specialty retail+4.2%
BBY−0.7%1 monthWSM+8.9%1 monthULTA+9.6%1 monthTSCO−0.5%1 month

Electronics, home, beauty and rural products have different demand cycles.

Sells into
Households & business buyers

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−36.2%
Volatility, 60D33.0%
From 52-week high−14.1%
From 52-week low+34.7%
Trailing P/E22.1×
Forward P/E18.9×

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