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NASDAQ · TSCO · Specialty Retail

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) stock analysis

$32.69−0.67%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • TSCO lost 0.5% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 323rd of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned −40.4%, 56.2 points behind the S&P 500, and trades 41.5% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 0 analysts raised earnings estimates and 1 cut; forward EPS moved −0.6% (−9.3% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Specialty retail segment of the Retail Channels & Consumer Brands, where the 1-month median return is +4.2%.
  • The daily chart reads Trend transition · Unresolved structure (since Oct 21, 2026).
Market cap$17.0B
12-month return−40.4%
Forward P/E15.9×
Mean target vs price+8.5%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

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31.539.747.956.2JanAprJulOct
32.6950-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

TSCO−0.5%
Sector median−1.2%
S&P 5000.0%
TSCO+7.8%
Sector median−7.1%
S&P 500+4.7%
TSCO−16.1%
Sector median−8.1%
S&P 500+8.7%
TSCO−40.4%
Sector median−7.2%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 500323 / 497
3-month rank in its sector · Consumer Cyclical92 / 419

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Trend transition · Unresolved structureAwaiting confirmation

Holding since Oct 21, 2026

  • Close below EMA20 below EMA50
  • EMA50 is approximately flat
  • Intermediate and long-term directions differ
  • Neither a stable trend nor a range is confirmed
This pattern on this stock

82 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was 0.0%, positive 50% of the time, against +0.9% for any day in the same period.

Reference zone, stop and targets for this structureSee the trade plan in Hub ↗

Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$2.04
30-day change−0.6%
90-day change−9.3%
Mean target$35.48 +8.5%
Raised (30d) 0Cut (30d) 1

27 analysts cover the stock

Where it sits in the supply chain

Retail Channels & Consumer Brands · Retail & marketplaces

Explore the full chain map in Hub
Its segment
Specialty retail+4.2%
BBY−0.7%1 monthWSM+8.9%1 monthULTA+9.6%1 monthTSCO−0.5%1 month

Electronics, home, beauty and rural products have different demand cycles.

Sells into
Households & business buyers

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−47.8%
Volatility, 60D28.8%
From 52-week high−41.5%
From 52-week low+12.2%
Trailing P/E17.0×
Forward P/E15.9×

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