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NYSE · CMG · Restaurants

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) stock analysis

$28.12−5.16%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • CMG lost 13.8% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 477th of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned −32.5%, 48.3 points behind the S&P 500, and trades 33.6% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 5 analysts raised earnings estimates and 0 cut; forward EPS moved −0.2% (+1.0% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Restaurant chains segment of the Retail Channels & Consumer Brands, where the 1-month median return is +0.5%.
  • The daily chart reads Intermediate downtrend · Decline (since Oct 21, 2026).
Market cap$35.6B
12-month return−32.5%
Forward P/E20.5×
Mean target vs price+56.0%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

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29.835.841.847.8JanAprJulOct
28.1250-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

CMG−13.8%
Sector median−1.2%
S&P 5000.0%
CMG−12.2%
Sector median−7.1%
S&P 500+4.7%
CMG−19.9%
Sector median−8.1%
S&P 500+8.7%
CMG−32.5%
Sector median−7.2%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 500477 / 497
3-month rank in its sector · Consumer Cyclical255 / 419

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Intermediate downtrend · DeclineConfirmed

Holding since Oct 21, 2026

  • Close below EMA20 below EMA50
  • EMA50 fell over the last ten sessions
  • Confirmed swing highs and lows are falling
This pattern on this stock

60 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was +3.4%, positive 58% of the time, against +1.6% for any day in the same period.

Reference zone, stop and targets for this structureSee the trade plan in Hub ↗

Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$1.37
30-day change−0.2%
90-day change+1.0%
Mean target$43.86 +56.0%
Raised (30d) 5Cut (30d) 0

32 analysts cover the stock

Where it sits in the supply chain

Retail Channels & Consumer Brands · Retail & marketplaces

Explore the full chain map in Hub
Its segment
Restaurant chains+0.5%
MCD−1.6%1 monthSBUX+4.2%1 monthCMG−13.8%1 monthYUM+8.3%1 monthDRI+0.5%1 month

Company-operated and franchise models differ in costs and revenue.

Sells into
Households & business buyers

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−33.6%
Volatility, 60D49.1%
From 52-week high−33.6%
From 52-week low0.0%
Trailing P/E26.0×
Forward P/E20.5×

Themes

  • Semiconductors3M rank 60 / 135

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