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NYSE · UPS · Integrated Freight & Logistics

UPS (UPS) stock analysis

$99.57+1.07%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • UPS gained 3.9% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 214th of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned +18.2%, 2.4 points ahead of the S&P 500, and trades 15.9% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 2 analysts raised earnings estimates and 5 cut; forward EPS moved −0.2% (+0.5% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Parcel & less-than-truckload segment of the Industrials & Defense, where the 1-month median return is +3.9%.
  • The daily chart reads Trend transition · Unresolved structure (since Oct 21, 2026).
Market cap$84.7B
12-month return+18.2%
Forward P/E12.3×
Mean target vs price+14.8%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

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88.397.9108117JanAprJulOct
99.5750-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

UPS+3.9%
Sector median−3.9%
S&P 5000.0%
UPS−12.7%
Sector median−9.0%
S&P 500+4.7%
UPS−5.4%
Sector median−7.4%
S&P 500+8.7%
UPS+18.2%
Sector median+0.5%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 500214 / 497
3-month rank in its sector · Industrials339 / 565

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Trend transition · Unresolved structureAwaiting confirmation

Holding since Oct 21, 2026

  • Price and averages have mixed alignment
  • EMA50 fell over the last ten sessions
  • Intermediate and long-term directions differ
  • Neither a stable trend nor a range is confirmed
This pattern on this stock

91 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was +0.9%, positive 57% of the time, against +0.4% for any day in the same period.

Reference zone, stop and targets for this structureSee the trade plan in Hub ↗

Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$8.06
30-day change−0.2%
90-day change+0.5%
Mean target$114.27 +14.8%
Raised (30d) 2Cut (30d) 5

26 analysts cover the stock

Where it sits in the supply chain

Industrials & Defense · Operations & services

Explore the full chain map in Hub
Its segment
Parcel & less-than-truckload+3.9%
UPS+3.9%1 monthFDX+0.8%1 monthODFL+6.5%1 month

Parcels and less-than-truckload freight follow e-commerce and industrial demand; cost control and big-customer shifts drive profit.

Sells into
Defense budgets & capex

Also on: Logistics & Freight

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−22.2%
Volatility, 60D26.1%
From 52-week high−15.9%
From 52-week low+18.0%
Trailing P/E18.5×
Forward P/E12.3×

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