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NYSE · CAT · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Caterpillar (CAT) stock analysis

$740.21+2.06%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • CAT lost 8.4% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 440th of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned +39.9%, 24.1 points ahead of the S&P 500, and trades 30.5% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 1 analyst raised earnings estimates and 1 cut; forward EPS moved +0.7% (+7.2% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Construction & farm machinery segment of the Industrials & Defense, where the 1-month median return is −7.2%.
  • The daily chart reads Intermediate downtrend · Decline (since Oct 16, 2026).
Market cap$340.3B
12-month return+39.9%
Forward P/E22.9×
Mean target vs price+31.8%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

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4366258141003JanAprJulOct
725.2450-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

CAT−8.4%
Sector median−3.9%
S&P 5000.0%
CAT−17.3%
Sector median−9.0%
S&P 500+4.7%
CAT−8.5%
Sector median−7.4%
S&P 500+8.7%
CAT+39.9%
Sector median+0.5%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 500440 / 497
3-month rank in its sector · Industrials380 / 565

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Intermediate downtrend · DeclineConfirmed

Holding since Oct 16, 2026

  • Close below EMA20 below EMA50
  • EMA50 fell over the last ten sessions
  • Some swings conflict with the averages
This pattern on this stock

55 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was +1.9%, positive 58% of the time, against +2.1% for any day in the same period.

Reference zone, stop and targets for this structureSee the trade plan in Hub ↗

Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$32.59
30-day change+0.7%
90-day change+7.2%
Mean target$975.61 +31.8%
Raised (30d) 1Cut (30d) 1

26 analysts cover the stock

Where it sits in the supply chain

Industrials & Defense · Systems & equipment

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Supplied by
Industrial distribution & materials+4.0%
FAST+4.8%1 monthMMM+3.2%1 month
Its segment
Construction & farm machinery−7.2%
CAT−8.4%1 monthDE−9.3%1 monthPCAR−3.2%1 monthAGCO−12.8%1 monthALSN−3.8%1 monthBLBD−3.5%1 monthCNH−15.7%1 monthLNN−7.2%1 monthOSK−1.8%1 monthTEX−9.7%1 monthTITN−5.3%1 month

Excavators, mining gear, tractors and heavy trucks, cycling with construction, mining, crop prices and freight; data-center building lifts power equipment.

Sells into
Business services & infrastructure−6.0%
CTAS+10.7%1 monthCPRT−4.2%1 monthFER−11.2%1 monthKELYA−1.6%1 monthMAN−22.5%1 monthRHI−7.8%1 month
Railroads+4.4%
UNP+4.9%1 monthCSX+3.9%1 month

Also on: Chemicals & Basic Materials · Industrial Automation & Equipment · Logistics & Freight

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−31.9%
Volatility, 60D34.9%
From 52-week high−30.5%
From 52-week low+44.6%
Trailing P/E31.9×
Forward P/E22.9×
DEDeerePCARPACCARFASTFastenal CompanyMMM3MCTASCintasCPRTCopart, Inc.FERFerrovial N.V.UNPUnion Pacific

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