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NASDAQ · STX · Computer Hardware

Seagate Technology (STX) stock analysis

$696.89+3.22%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • STX lost 24.2% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 491st of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned +226.5%, 210.7 points ahead of the S&P 500, and trades 36.3% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 2 analysts raised earnings estimates and 0 cut; forward EPS moved +3.7% (+27.2% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Hard drives & data storage segment of the Semiconductor Value Chain, where the 1-month median return is −21.4%.
  • The daily chart reads Intermediate downtrend · Decline (since Oct 21, 2026).
Market cap$158.5B
12-month return+226.5%
Forward P/E12.6×
Mean target vs price+64.2%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

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2084787471017JanAprJulOct
696.8950-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

STX−24.2%
Sector median−3.0%
S&P 5000.0%
STX−23.7%
Sector median−0.1%
S&P 500+4.7%
STX+20.2%
Sector median+0.8%
S&P 500+8.7%
STX+226.5%
Sector median0.0%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 500491 / 497
1-month rank in the Nasdaq 10098 / 100
3-month rank in its sector · Technology499 / 650

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Intermediate downtrend · DeclineConfirmed

Holding since Oct 21, 2026

  • Close below EMA20 below EMA50
  • EMA50 fell over the last ten sessions
  • Intermediate and long-term directions differ
This pattern on this stock

62 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was −0.1%, positive 50% of the time, against +2.0% for any day in the same period.

Reference zone, stop and targets for this structureSee the trade plan in Hub ↗

Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$57.44
30-day change+3.7%
90-day change+27.2%
Mean target$1144.35 +64.2%
Raised (30d) 2Cut (30d) 0

23 analysts cover the stock

Where it sits in the supply chain

Semiconductor Value Chain · Chip products

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Its segment
Hard drives & data storage−21.4%
STX−24.2%1 monthWDC−18.5%1 month

High-capacity hard drives remain the cheapest home for cloud data, and data from AI training and inference lifts nearline demand.

Chokepoint AI and cloud storage need high-capacity hard drives, made mainly by Seagate and Western Digital; capacity is booked beyond 2026 and lead times run near a year.

Sells into
Data centers−4.7%
MSFT+7.0%1 monthGOOGL−4.7%1 monthAMZN+2.9%1 monthMETA−5.3%1 monthORCL−13.5%1 month

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−41.6%
Volatility, 60D68.6%
From 52-week high−36.3%
From 52-week low+226.2%
Trailing P/E50.2×
Forward P/E12.6×

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