SIStockInvestingSI.com

NYSE · VLO · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Valero Energy (VLO) stock analysis

$436.75+0.77%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • VLO gained 15.8% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 19th of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned +176.1%, 160.3 points ahead of the S&P 500, and trades 5.0% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 12 analysts raised earnings estimates and 1 cut; forward EPS moved +37.2% (+112.5% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Refining & fuel sales segment of the Oil & Gas Supply Chain, where the 1-month median return is +15.8%.
  • The daily chart reads Intermediate uptrend · Breakout retest (since Oct 20, 2026).
Market cap$125.8B
12-month return+176.1%
Forward P/E12.3×
Mean target vs price−6.9%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

Open in Hub
163253344434JanAprJulOct
436.7550-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

VLO+15.8%
Sector median+2.5%
S&P 5000.0%
VLO+43.6%
Sector median+3.2%
S&P 500+4.7%
VLO+86.4%
Sector median+0.3%
S&P 500+8.7%
VLO+176.1%
Sector median+41.6%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 50019 / 497
3-month rank in its sector · Energy6 / 194

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Intermediate uptrend · Breakout retestConfirmed

Holding since Oct 20, 2026

  • Close above EMA20 above EMA50
  • EMA50 rose over the last ten sessions
  • Some swings conflict with the averages
This pattern on this stock

36 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was +7.4%, positive 92% of the time, against +2.1% for any day in the same period.

Reference zone, stop and targets for this structureSee the trade plan in Hub ↗

Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$47.38
30-day change+37.2%
90-day change+112.5%
Mean target$406.58 −6.9%
Raised (30d) 12Cut (30d) 1

19 analysts cover the stock

Fundamental shape vs peers

Six dimensions on fixed scales. The filled shape is the company; the outline is the peer average.

Open the full Radar with every ratio
ValuationRevisionsMomentumGrowthCashProfit

Ahead of peersCash, Growth

Behind peersValuation

PeersMPC · PSX · DINO · PBF

Where it sits in the supply chain

Oil & Gas Supply Chain · Processing & sales

Explore the full chain map in Hub
Supplied by
Independent E&P+12.3%
EOG+13.2%1 monthOXY+11.3%1 monthDVN+6.3%1 monthAPA+17.3%1 monthCOP+16.3%1 monthFANG+8.9%1 month
Integrated producers+12.1%
XOM+12.2%1 monthCVX+12.0%1 month
Its segment
Refining & fuel sales+15.8%
MPC+20.1%1 monthVLO+15.8%1 monthPSX+13.0%1 month

Refiners turn crude into fuels; product-versus-feedstock spreads matter.

Sells into
Transport, industry & power

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−12.1%
Volatility, 60D34.5%
From 52-week high−5.0%
From 52-week low+180.4%
Trailing P/E18.2×
Forward P/E12.3×

Themes

  • Gas/LNG3M rank 6 / 188
MPCMarathon PetroleumPSXPhillips 66EOGEOG ResourcesOXYOccidental Petroleum CorporatioDVNDevon Energy CorporationAPAAPA CorporationCOPConocoPhillipsFANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.

Track this stock every day

Hub adds the daily brief, StockFlow factor flow, trade plans and alerts for your watchlist.

Open in Hub ↗