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NYSE · PGR · Insurance - Property & Casualty

Progressive (PGR) stock analysis

$221.35−0.26%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • PGR gained 7.0% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 121st of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned +7.4%, 8.4 points behind the S&P 500, and trades 5.6% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 3 analysts raised earnings estimates and 4 cut; forward EPS moved +0.3% (+0.5% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Personal lines segment of the Insurance Value Chain, where the 1-month median return is +7.0%.
  • The daily chart reads Trend transition · Trend repair (since Oct 21, 2026).
Market cap$128.5B
12-month return+7.4%
Forward P/E13.6×
Mean target vs price+5.2%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

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196215234253JanAprJulOct
221.3550-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

PGR+7.0%
Sector median−1.1%
S&P 5000.0%
PGR+6.9%
Sector median−1.6%
S&P 500+4.7%
PGR+9.2%
Sector median+4.3%
S&P 500+8.7%
PGR+7.4%
Sector median+15.0%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 500121 / 497
3-month rank in its sector · Financial Services134 / 688

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Trend transition · Trend repairAwaiting confirmation

Holding since Oct 21, 2026

  • Close above EMA20 above EMA50
  • EMA50 rose over the last ten sessions
  • Neither a stable trend nor a range is confirmed
This pattern on this stock

56 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was +1.0%, positive 54% of the time, against +1.5% for any day in the same period.

Reference zone, stop and targets for this structureSee the trade plan in Hub ↗

Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$16.34
30-day change+0.3%
90-day change+0.5%
Mean target$232.76 +5.2%
Raised (30d) 3Cut (30d) 4

21 analysts cover the stock

Fundamental shape vs peers

Six dimensions on fixed scales. The filled shape is the company; the outline is the peer average.

Open the full Radar with every ratio
ValuationRevisionsMomentumGrowthCashProfit

Ahead of peersProfit

Behind peersValuation, Revisions

PeersCB · TRV · ALL · WRB

Where it sits in the supply chain

Insurance Value Chain · Underwriting

Explore the full chain map in Hub
Supplied by
Risk analytics+11.9%
VRSK+11.9%1 month
Reinsurance & insurance groups+6.0%
EG+6.4%1 monthACGL+5.6%1 monthBerkshire Hathaway1 month
Its segment
Personal lines+7.0%
PGR+7.0%1 monthALL+9.4%1 monthCINF+5.3%1 month

Personal lines depend on premiums, repair costs, catastrophes and pricing.

Sells into
Households & businesses

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−14.3%
Volatility, 60D24.7%
From 52-week high−5.6%
From 52-week low+16.3%
Trailing P/E11.1×
Forward P/E13.6×
ALLAllstateCINFCincinnati Financial CorporatioVRSKVerisk Analytics, Inc.EGEverest Group, Ltd.ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd.CBChubbTRVTravelersWRBW.R. Berkley Corporation

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