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NASDAQ · ACGL · Insurance - Diversified

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) stock analysis

$100.28−1.00%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • ACGL gained 5.6% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 165th of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned +15.3%, 0.5 points behind the S&P 500, and trades 5.8% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 8 analysts raised earnings estimates and 4 cut; forward EPS moved +0.4% (−0.3% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Reinsurance & insurance groups segment of the Insurance Value Chain, where the 1-month median return is +6.0%.
  • The daily chart reads Trend transition · Trend repair (since Oct 16, 2026).
Market cap$34.2B
12-month return+15.3%
Forward P/E10.3×
Mean target vs price+10.8%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

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86.592.698.6105JanAprJulOct
100.2850-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

ACGL+5.6%
Sector median−1.1%
S&P 5000.0%
ACGL+0.2%
Sector median−1.6%
S&P 500+4.7%
ACGL+3.6%
Sector median+4.3%
S&P 500+8.7%
ACGL+15.3%
Sector median+15.0%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 500165 / 497
3-month rank in its sector · Financial Services284 / 688

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Trend transition · Trend repairAwaiting confirmation

Holding since Oct 16, 2026

  • Close above EMA20 above EMA50
  • EMA50 rose over the last ten sessions
  • Intermediate and long-term directions differ
  • Neither a stable trend nor a range is confirmed
This pattern on this stock

44 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was +1.8%, positive 66% of the time, against +1.2% for any day in the same period.

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Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$9.80
30-day change+0.4%
90-day change−0.3%
Mean target$111.08 +10.8%
Raised (30d) 8Cut (30d) 4

19 analysts cover the stock

Where it sits in the supply chain

Insurance Value Chain · Risk data & reinsurance

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Its segment
Reinsurance & insurance groups+6.0%
EG+6.4%1 monthACGL+5.6%1 monthBerkshire Hathaway1 month

Reinsurance shares insurer losses; diversified groups also have other businesses.

Sells into
Personal lines+7.0%
PGR+7.0%1 monthALL+9.4%1 monthCINF+5.3%1 month
Commercial & specialty insurance+5.7%
CB+5.7%1 monthTRV+10.2%1 monthWRB+9.1%1 monthAIG+8.7%1 monthHIG+5.5%1 monthL+5.5%1 monthAIZ+4.9%1 month

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−14.1%
Volatility, 60D18.5%
From 52-week high−5.8%
From 52-week low+18.4%
Trailing P/E7.8×
Forward P/E10.3×
EGEverest Group, Ltd.PGRProgressiveALLAllstateCINFCincinnati Financial CorporatioCBChubbTRVTravelersWRBW.R. Berkley CorporationAIGAmerican International Group, I

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