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NASDAQ · MRNA · Biotechnology

Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) stock analysis

$245.81+1.54%Data as of Oct 21, 2026

Extreme price behaviour: returns on this page may include a corporate action such as a spin-off. Check them against the company's filings.

  • MRNA gained 34.6% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 2nd of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned +802.4%, 786.6 points ahead of the S&P 500, and trades 0.0% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 2 analysts raised earnings estimates and 1 cut; forward EPS moved +0.1% (−0.7% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Biotech segment of the Healthcare Value Chain, where the 1-month median return is +0.4%.
  • The daily chart reads Intermediate uptrend · Failed breakout (since Oct 16, 2026).
Market cap$98.1B
12-month return+802.4%
Mean target vs price−50.1%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

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40.2103165228JanAprJulOct
245.8150-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

MRNA+34.6%
Sector median−8.7%
S&P 5000.0%
MRNA+331.1%
Sector median−5.4%
S&P 500+4.7%
MRNA+342.1%
Sector median−1.5%
S&P 500+8.7%
MRNA+802.4%
Sector median+1.7%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 5002 / 497
3-month rank in its sector · Healthcare1 / 720

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Intermediate uptrend · Failed breakoutFailed

Holding since Oct 16, 2026

  • Close above EMA20 above EMA50
  • EMA50 rose over the last ten sessions
  • Confirmed swing highs and lows are rising
This pattern on this stock

12 occurrences in 8 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was +3.5%, positive 50% of the time, against 0.0% for any day in the same period.

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Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$-4.78
30-day change+0.1%
90-day change−0.7%
Mean target$122.67 −50.1%
Raised (30d) 2Cut (30d) 1

18 analysts cover the stock

Fundamental shape vs peers

Six dimensions on fixed scales. The filled shape is the company; the outline is the peer average.

Open the full Radar with every ratio
ValuationRevisionsMomentumGrowthCashProfit

Ahead of peersMomentum

Behind peersProfit, Cash

PeersVRTX · REGN · ARGX · ONC

Where it sits in the supply chain

Healthcare Value Chain · Drugs & devices

Explore the full chain map in Hub
Supplied by
Life-science tools & bioprocessing+6.0%
TMO+5.4%1 monthDHR+6.0%1 monthA+6.4%1 month
Clinical research outsourcing+8.0%
IQV+2.4%1 monthFTRE+17.8%1 monthICLR+10.9%1 monthMEDP+5.1%1 month
Its segment
Biotech+0.4%
AMGN+6.8%1 monthREGN+0.2%1 monthGILD+0.6%1 monthVRTX+1.9%1 monthALNY−10.6%1 monthMRNA+34.6%1 monthBIIB+6.9%1 monthINSM−22.2%1 monthINCY−10.6%1 monthCATX−22.3%1 month

Built on a few major drugs or platforms, with shares highly sensitive to trial data and regulatory decisions.

Sells into
Drug distribution+13.9%
MCK+13.9%1 monthCOR+8.3%1 monthCAH+16.2%1 month

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−34.2%
Volatility, 60D373.3%
From 52-week high0.0%
From 52-week low+999.3%

Themes

  • Biotech Platform3M rank 1 / 414
AMGNAmgenREGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsGILDGilead SciencesVRTXVertex PharmaceuticalsALNYAlnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.BIIBBiogen Inc.INSMInsmed IncorporatedINCYIncyte Corporation

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