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NASDAQ · MSTR · Software - Application

Strategy Inc (MSTR) stock analysis

$153.48+7.54%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • MSTR lost 8.3% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 82nd of 100 Nasdaq 100 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned −48.3%, 64.1 points behind the S&P 500, and trades 49.2% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 1 analyst raised earnings estimates and 2 cut; forward EPS moved −4.7% (+50.2% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Bitcoin treasuries & miners segment of the Financial Services, where the 1-month median return is −42.2%.
  • The daily chart reads Trend transition · Unresolved structure (since Oct 14, 2026).
Market cap$65.0B
12-month return−48.3%
Forward P/E3.1×
Mean target vs price+54.9%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

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104178253328JanAprJulOct
153.4850-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

MSTR−8.3%
Sector median−3.0%
S&P 5000.0%
MSTR+63.9%
Sector median−0.1%
S&P 500+4.7%
MSTR−14.4%
Sector median+0.8%
S&P 500+8.7%
MSTR−48.3%
Sector median0.0%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the Nasdaq 10082 / 100
3-month rank in its sector · Technology35 / 650

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Trend transition · Unresolved structureAwaiting confirmation

Holding since Oct 14, 2026

  • Close above EMA20 above EMA50
  • EMA50 rose over the last ten sessions
  • Confirmed swing highs and lows are falling
  • Neither a stable trend nor a range is confirmed
This pattern on this stock

93 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was −0.6%, positive 46% of the time, against +0.5% for any day in the same period.

Reference zone, stop and targets for this structureSee the trade plan in Hub ↗

Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$13.17
30-day change−4.7%
90-day change+50.2%
Mean target$237.80 +54.9%
Raised (30d) 1Cut (30d) 2

15 analysts cover the stock

Fundamental shape vs peers

Six dimensions on fixed scales. The filled shape is the company; the outline is the peer average.

Open the full Radar with every ratio
ValuationRevisionsMomentumGrowthCashProfit

Ahead of peersValuation

Behind peersMomentum, Revisions

PeersSAP · SHOP · CRM · NOW

Where it sits in the supply chain

Financial Services · Intermediaries

Explore the full chain map in Hub
Supplied by
Crypto exchange−11.9%
COIN−11.9%1 month
Its segment
Bitcoin treasuries & miners−42.2%
MSTR−8.3%1 monthIREN−42.7%1 monthABTC−15.9%1 monthCLSK−42.2%1 monthHUT−32.9%1 monthMARA−42.8%1 monthRIOT−43.8%1 month

Companies that hold or mine bitcoin, with shares more sensitive than the coin; some miners are repurposing power and sites for AI compute.

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−72.7%
Volatility, 60D87.0%
From 52-week high−49.2%
From 52-week low+86.5%
Forward P/E3.1×

Themes

  • Cloud SaaS3M rank 29 / 303
COINCoinbase Global, Inc.SHOPShopifyCRMSalesforceNOWServiceNowUBERUber TechnologiesADPAutomatic Data ProcessingADBEAdobeDDOGDatadog

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