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NYSE · LLY · Drug Manufacturers - General

Eli Lilly (LLY) stock analysis

$1270.75−1.01%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • LLY gained 8.6% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 85th of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned +57.6%, 41.8 points ahead of the S&P 500, and trades 1.0% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 7 analysts raised earnings estimates and 5 cut; forward EPS moved +0.3% (+5.7% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Obesity & metabolic (GLP-1) segment of the Healthcare Value Chain, where the 1-month median return is +3.8%.
  • The daily chart reads Trend transition · Trend repair (since Oct 19, 2026).
Market cap$1.13T
12-month return+57.6%
Forward P/E26.8×
Mean target vs price+4.6%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

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79794510931241JanAprJulOct
1270.7550-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

LLY+8.6%
Sector median−8.7%
S&P 5000.0%
LLY+7.2%
Sector median−5.4%
S&P 500+4.7%
LLY+37.9%
Sector median−1.5%
S&P 500+8.7%
LLY+57.6%
Sector median+1.7%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 50085 / 497
3-month rank in its sector · Healthcare232 / 720

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Trend transition · Trend repairAwaiting confirmation

Holding since Oct 19, 2026

  • Close above EMA20 above EMA50
  • EMA50 rose over the last ten sessions
  • Intermediate and long-term directions differ
  • Neither a stable trend nor a range is confirmed
This pattern on this stock

46 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was +2.8%, positive 67% of the time, against +1.9% for any day in the same period.

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Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$47.48
30-day change+0.3%
90-day change+5.7%
Mean target$1328.83 +4.6%
Raised (30d) 7Cut (30d) 5

29 analysts cover the stock

Where it sits in the supply chain

Healthcare Value Chain · Drugs & devices

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Supplied by
Life-science tools & bioprocessing+6.0%
TMO+5.4%1 monthDHR+6.0%1 monthA+6.4%1 month
Its segment
Obesity & metabolic (GLP-1)+3.8%
LLY+8.6%1 monthNVO−0.9%1 month

GLP-1 drugs for weight loss and diabetes are the largest recent source of drug growth; two leaders compete on share, with supply, coverage and price as key variables.

Sells into
Drug distribution+13.9%
MCK+13.9%1 monthCOR+8.3%1 monthCAH+16.2%1 month
Health insurers+11.2%
UNH+11.8%1 monthELV+7.9%1 monthCI+11.2%1 monthCVS+7.3%1 monthHUM+14.4%1 month

Also on: Medtech, Diagnostics & Care · Agriculture to the Table

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−23.2%
Volatility, 60D30.8%
From 52-week high−1.0%
From 52-week low+59.4%
Trailing P/E42.7×
Forward P/E26.8×

Themes

  • Gene/Cell Therapy3M rank 37 / 99

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