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NASDAQ · LITE · Communication Equipment

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) stock analysis

$850.70+3.43%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • LITE lost 10.0% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 453rd of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned +428.4%, 412.6 points ahead of the S&P 500, and trades 24.9% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 2 analysts raised earnings estimates and 0 cut; forward EPS moved −9.3% (+26.1% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Lasers & analog ICs segment of the AI Infrastructure Supply Chain, where the 1-month median return is −18.8%.
  • The daily chart reads Trend transition · Failed breakout (since Oct 13, 2026).
Market cap$77.1B
12-month return+428.4%
Forward P/E24.5×
Mean target vs price+35.1%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

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1794707601050JanAprJulOct
850.7050-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

LITE−10.0%
Sector median−3.0%
S&P 5000.0%
LITE+2.0%
Sector median−0.1%
S&P 500+4.7%
LITE−2.6%
Sector median+0.8%
S&P 500+8.7%
LITE+428.4%
Sector median0.0%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 500453 / 497
3-month rank in its sector · Technology299 / 650

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Trend transition · Failed breakoutFailed

Holding since Oct 13, 2026

  • Price and averages have mixed alignment
  • EMA50 is approximately flat
  • Intermediate and long-term directions differ
This pattern on this stock

16 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was −1.7%, positive 38% of the time, against +1.7% for any day in the same period.

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Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$36.02
30-day change−9.3%
90-day change+26.1%
Mean target$1149.38 +35.1%
Raised (30d) 2Cut (30d) 0

26 analysts cover the stock

Where it sits in the supply chain

AI Infrastructure Supply Chain · Core components

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Supplied by
Fiber & optical materials−15.5%
GLW−15.5%1 monthAGC1 month
Its segment
Lasers & analog ICs−18.8%
COHR−23.5%1 monthLITE−10.0%1 monthMTSI−2.4%1 monthSMTC−18.8%1 monthPOET−30.6%1 month

EML lasers, driver/TIA chips and signal-integrity ICs are the core parts of high-speed optical modules.

Chokepoint AI data-center optics need indium phosphide laser chips, whose capacity grows slowly; suppliers say the gap now exceeds DRAM and NAND, pacing optical build-outs.

Sells into
Optics & high-speed links−16.0%
FN−11.8%1 monthAAOI−27.7%1 monthCRDO−5.3%1 monthALAB−20.2%1 month

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−42.8%
Volatility, 60D92.2%
From 52-week high−24.9%
From 52-week low+438.2%
Forward P/E24.5×

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