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NYSE · CF · Agricultural Inputs

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) stock analysis

$116.30−1.38%Data as of Oct 21, 2026
  • CF lost 3.6% over the past month versus 0.0% for the S&P 500, ranking 381st of 497 S&P 500 stocks.
  • Over 12 months it returned +40.1%, 24.3 points ahead of the S&P 500, and trades 16.5% below its 52-week high.
  • In the last 30 days 0 analysts raised earnings estimates and 0 cut; forward EPS moved +3.1% (+1.3% over 90 days).
  • It sits in the Seeds, fertilizer & machinery segment of the Agriculture to the Table, where the 1-month median return is −18.9%.
  • The daily chart reads Intermediate downtrend · Low consolidation (since Oct 19, 2026).
Market cap$17.6B
12-month return+40.1%
Forward P/E10.9×
Mean target vs price+10.0%

One-year price with 50- and 200-day averages

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81.198.8117134JanAprJulOct
116.3050-day200-day

Performance vs the market

Total price return against the S&P 500 (SPY) and the median of US stocks in the same sector.

CF−3.6%
Sector median−11.6%
S&P 5000.0%
CF−8.2%
Sector median−3.0%
S&P 500+4.7%
CF−5.0%
Sector median−15.8%
S&P 500+8.7%
CF+40.1%
Sector median+2.6%
S&P 500+15.8%
1-month rank in the S&P 500381 / 497
3-month rank in its sector · Basic Materials150 / 246

Chart structure

Read by our daily-bar structure engine from swing highs, swing lows and moving averages.

Intermediate downtrend · Low consolidationAwaiting confirmation

Holding since Oct 19, 2026

  • Close below EMA20 below EMA50
  • EMA50 fell over the last ten sessions
  • Some swings conflict with the averages
  • Intermediate and long-term directions differ
This pattern on this stock

47 occurrences in 10 years. The median move over the next 20 sessions was +1.7%, positive 62% of the time, against +0.9% for any day in the same period.

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Analyst earnings revisions

Changes to the consensus forward-EPS estimate. Rising estimates mean analysts see more profit ahead.

Forward EPS$11.21
30-day change+3.1%
90-day change+1.3%
Mean target$127.94 +10.0%
Raised (30d) 0Cut (30d) 0

20 analysts cover the stock

Fundamental shape vs peers

Six dimensions on fixed scales. The filled shape is the company; the outline is the peer average.

Open the full Radar with every ratio
ValuationRevisionsMomentumGrowthCashProfit

Ahead of peersCash, Profit

PeersNTR · CTVA · ICL · MOS

Where it sits in the supply chain

Agriculture to the Table · Farm inputs

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Supplied by
Fertilizer feedstock: natural gas+6.4%
EQT+6.4%1 month
Its segment
Seeds, fertilizer & machinery−18.9%
CF−3.6%1 monthCTVA−84.2%1 monthMOS−28.5%1 monthDE−9.3%1 month

Farm inputs depend on farm income, crop prices, weather and replacement.

Chokepoint Potash cannot be synthesized and output is concentrated in a few countries; sanctions touch Russia and Belarus, and the US imports most of its supply.

Sells into
Grain & oilseed processing−5.3%
ADM−3.6%1 monthBG−7.1%1 month

Figures are each company's 1-month return; the segment shows its median · Doubler daily batch · company chain maps

Risk profile

Max drawdown, 12M−25.7%
Volatility, 60D37.7%
From 52-week high−16.5%
From 52-week low+53.7%
Trailing P/E8.6×
Forward P/E10.9×
CTVACorteva, Inc.MOSMosaic Company (The)DEDeereEQTEQT CorporationADMArcher-Daniels-Midland CompanyBGBunge LimitedLINLindeNEMNewmont

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